Physics – Condensed Matter – Statistical Mechanics
Scientific paper
2000-07-17
Physics
Condensed Matter
Statistical Mechanics
To appear in Proceedings of the Dynamics Days Asia Pacific Conference, 13-16 July, 1999, Hong Kong (Physica A, 2000)
Scientific paper
10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00442-8
The minute-by-minute move of the Hang Seng Index (HSI) data over a four-year period is analysed and shown to possess similar statistical features as those of other markets. Based on a mathematical theorem [S. B. Pope and E. S. C. Ching, Phys. Fluids A {\bf 5}, 1529 (1993)], we derive an analytic form for the probability distribution function (PDF) of index moves from fitted functional forms of certain conditional averages of the time series. Furthermore, following a recent work by Stolovitzky and Ching, we show that the observed PDF can be reproduced by a Langevin process with a move-dependent noise amplitude. The form of the Langevin equation can be determined directly from the market data.
Huang Zhi-Feng
Tang Lei-Han
No associations
LandOfFree
Modelling High-frequency Economic Time Series does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Modelling High-frequency Economic Time Series, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Modelling High-frequency Economic Time Series will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-192035