Physics – Condensed Matter
Scientific paper
1999-07-27
Int. J. Mod. Phys. B 13 (1999) 1463-1476
Physics
Condensed Matter
two additional references are included
Scientific paper
10.1142/S021797929900151X
The self-similar analysis of time series is generalized by introducing the notion of scenario probabilities. This makes it possible to give a complete statistical description for the forecast spectrum by defining the average forecast as a weighted fixed point and by calculating the corresponding a priori standard deviation and variance coefficient. Several examples of stock-market time series illustrate the method.
Gluzman Simon
Yukalov V. I.
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