Physics – Geophysics
Scientific paper
2003-02-11
Physics
Geophysics
INRNE, BAS, Sofia, Bulgaria, 15 pages, 18 Figures, 1 Table, 386 kB pdf only, Presented at Workshop on Gujarat Earthquake, Kanp
Scientific paper
It is given an attempt for statistical estimation of when earthquake prediction for Balkan- Black Sea region using the geomagnetic field signal. The preliminary test of the approach for England (Hartland), Turkey (Kandilli) and India (Alibag) regions is presented. The research step by step program for creating when, where and how earthquake prediction region Network system on the basis of the experimental data for geomagnetic field, electro-potential distribution in the Earth crust and atmosphere, temperature Earth crust distribution, gravitational anomaly map, season and day independent temperature depth distribution, water sources parameters (debit, temperature, chemical composition, radioactivity), gas emissions, ionosphere condition parameters, Earth radiation belt, Sun wind, crust parameters (strain, deformation, displacement) and biological precursors is proposed. The achievements of tidal potential modeling of Earth surface with included ocean and atmosphere tidal influences, many component correlation analysis and the nonlinear inverse problem methods in fluids dynamics and Maxwell equations are crucial. The today almost real time technologies GIS for archiving, analysis, visualization and interpretation of the data and non- linear inverse problem methods for building theoretical models for the parameter behaviors, correlations and dynamics have to be used.
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