Stochastic Load-Redistribution Model for Cascading Failure Propagation

Physics – Condensed Matter – Disordered Systems and Neural Networks

Scientific paper

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5 pages, 2 figures

Scientific paper

10.1103/PhysRevE.81.031129

A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches. Specifically, it is assumed that the load increments after a failure are proportional to the failed load and that the load redistribution among the remaining elements is stochastic. The models are solved analytically in terms of generalized branching processes, and the failure propagation properties of a prototype example are analyzed in detail.

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