Modelling fluctuations of financial time series: from cascade process to stochastic volatility model

Details Modelling fluctuations of financial time series: from cascade process to stochastic volatility model Modelling fluctuations of financial time series: from cascade process to stochastic volatility model

2000-05-24

arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0005400v1

Physics

Condensed Matter

21 pages, 5 figures

Scientific paper

10.1007/s100510070131

In this paper, we provide a simple, ``generic'' interpretation of multifractal scaling laws and multiplicative cascade process paradigms in terms of volatility correlations. We show that in this context 1/f power spectra, as observed recently by Bonanno et al., naturally emerge. We then propose a simple solvable ``stochastic volatility'' model for return fluctuations. This model is able to reproduce most of recent empirical findings concerning financial time series: no correlation between price variations, long-range volatility correlations and multifractal statistics. Moreover, its extension to a multivariate context, in order to model portfolio behavior, is very natural. Comparisons to real data and other models proposed elsewhere are provided.

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