Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall

Details Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall

Jul 2003

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2003georl..30m..53f&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 30, Issue 13, pp. 53-1, CiteID 1720, DOI 10.1029/2003GL017327

Physics

20

Hydrology: Floods, Hydrology: Precipitation (3354), Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Synoptic-Scale Meteorology, Information Related To Geographic Region: Europe

Scientific paper

Future projections from climate models and recent observations show a worldwide increase in both the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall, coinciding with widespread flooding and landslides in Europe. It is estimated, using regional frequency analysis, that the magnitude of extreme rainfall has increased two-fold over parts of the UK since the 1960s. Intensities previously experienced, on average, every 25 years now occur at 6 year intervals; a consequence of both increased event frequency and changes in seasonality. These climatic changes may be explained by persistent atmospheric circulation anomalies and have huge economic and social implications in terms of increased flooding.

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