Physics – Condensed Matter – Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Scientific paper
2000-12-04
Phys. Rev. E 63, 056121 (2001)
Physics
Condensed Matter
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
15 pages, 6 figures, uses Revtex. Replaced an old version of volatility graph that. Rephrased and updated some references
Scientific paper
10.1103/PhysRevE.63.056121
We study the dynamics of the batch minority game, with random external information, using generating functional techniques a la De Dominicis. The relevant control parameter in this model is the ratio $\alpha=p/N$ of the number $p$ of possible values for the external information over the number $N$ of trading agents. In the limit $N\to\infty$ we calculate the location $\alpha_c$ of the phase transition (signaling the onset of anomalous response), and solve the statics for $\alpha>\alpha_c$ exactly. The temporal correlations in global market fluctuations turn out not to decay to zero for infinitely widely separated times. For $\alpha<\alpha_c$ the stationary state is shown to be non-unique. For $\alpha\to 0$ we analyse our equations in leading order in $\alpha$, and find asymptotic solutions with diverging volatility $\sigma=\order(\alpha^{-{1/2}})$ (as regularly observed in simulations), but also asymptotic solutions with vanishing volatility $\sigma=\order(\alpha^{{1/2}})$. The former, however, are shown to emerge only if the agents' initial strategy valuations are below a specific critical value.
Coolen Anthony C. C.
Heimel J. A. F.
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