Physics – Condensed Matter – Statistical Mechanics
Scientific paper
2000-11-09
Computational Seismology 32, 122-137 (2001)
Physics
Condensed Matter
Statistical Mechanics
Latex 14 pages + 7 eps figures, submitted to the special issue of Computational Seismology dedicated to the 80-anniversary of
Scientific paper
We develop theoretical formulas for the prediction of the rupture of systems which are known to exhibit a critical behavior, based solely on the knowledge of the early time evolution of an observable, such as the acoustic emission rate as a function of time or of stress. From the parameterization of such early time evolution in terms of a low-order polynomial, we use the functional renormalization approach introduced by Yukalov and Gluzman to transform this polynomial into a function which is asymptotically a power law. The value of the critical time tc,conditioned on the assumption that tc exists, is thus determined from the knowledge of the coefficients of the polynomials. We test with success this prediction scheme with respect to the order of the polynomials and as a function of noise.
Andersen Jorgen Vitting
Gluzman Simon
Sornette Didier
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