Forecasting the Ionosphere and Scintillation Globally: Reaching the Next Level

Physics

Scientific paper

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[2415] Ionosphere / Equatorial Ionosphere, [2439] Ionosphere / Ionospheric Irregularities, [2447] Ionosphere / Modeling And Forecasting, [2494] Ionosphere / Instruments And Techniques

Scientific paper

While the Climatology of the ionosphere impacting navigation, communication and tracking systems has been studied and modeled extensively, the day to day global variability (the weather) of the ionosphere remains elusive. To better understand and forecast ionospheric conditions, measurements of the neutral densities and winds are also needed. Low inclination satellites, such as C/NOFS, promise to provide a big step forward by routinely observing ionospheric irregularity structures that reach satellite altitudes, while higher inclination satellites like the DMSP satellites can better characterize the global ionosphere. The Naval Research Laboratory Space Science Division is developing a host of sensors to measure both the ionosphere and thermosphere to further advance our ability to specify the ionosphere and scintillation globally. Among these are space-based remote sensors and compact in situ sensors. This presentation discusses some of the difficulties in forecasting the ionosphere and scintillation globally and how these sensors and emerging sensor technologies can be used to advance scintillation and ionospheric forecasting to the next level.

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