Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts

Details Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts Evidence for a modest undercount bias in early historical Atlantic tropical cyclone counts

Nov 2007

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2007georl..3422707m&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 34, Issue 22, CiteID L22707

Physics

Geophysics

13

Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Mathematical Geophysics: Stochastic Processes (3235, 4468, 4475, 7857)

Scientific paper

We obtain new insights into the reliability of long-term historical Atlantic tropical cyclone (`TC') counts through the use of a statistical model that relates variations in annual Atlantic TC counts to climate state variables. We find that the existence of a substantial undercount bias in late 19th through mid 20th century TC counts is inconsistent with the statistical relationship between TC counts and climate.

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