Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks

Details Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks

2011-01-05

arxiv.org/abs/1101.0987v2

new version in Science Vol. 333 no. 6038 pp. 81-84 (1 July 2011)

Physics

Physics and Society

Added acknowledgements and author affiliation

Scientific paper

10.1126/science.1205068

The Red Queen's notion "It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place" has been applied within evolutionary biology, politics and economics. We find that a generalized version in which an adaptive Red Queen (e.g. insurgency) sporadically edges ahead of a Blue King (e.g. military), explains the progress curves for fatal insurgent attacks against the coalition military within individual provinces in Afghanistan and Iraq. Remarkably regular mathematical relations emerge which suggest a prediction formula for the timing of the n'th future fatal day, and provide a common framework for understanding how insurgents fight in different regions. Our findings are consistent with a Darwinian selection hypothesis which favors a weak species which can adapt rapidly, and establish an unexpected conceptual connection to the physics of correlated walks.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-267177