Did predictions of the maximum sunspot number for solar cycle no. 22 come true?

Details Did predictions of the maximum sunspot number for solar cycle no. 22 come true? Did predictions of the maximum sunspot number for solar cycle no. 22 come true?

Jul 1992

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1992soph..140..171k&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics (ISSN 0038-0938), vol. 140, no. 1, July 1992, p. 171-180.

Physics

14

Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Cycles, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Sunspots, Coronal Holes, Mathematical Models, Periodic Variations, Solar Activity Effects

Scientific paper

An overview is conducted of the results of analytical estimates of maximum sunspot number for the solar cycle number 22 with comparisons to the actual levels of sunspot activity. Predictions based on bivariate analysis gave underestimates on the order of 130 vs the actual number of 159 for a 12-mo running average. The methods based on single variable analysis predicted that cycle 22 would be slightly weaker than cycle 21 with estimates of around 165 sunspots.

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