Comparison of Field Theory Models of Interest Rates with Market Data

Physics – Condensed Matter – Soft Condensed Matter

Scientific paper

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9 figures

Scientific paper

10.1103/PhysRevE.69.036129

We calibrate and test various variants of field theory models of the interest
rate with data from eurodollars futures. A model based on a simple
psychological factor are seen to provide the best fit to the market. We make a
model independent determination of the volatility function of the forward rates
from market data.

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