Physics – High Energy Physics – High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
Scientific paper
2008-07-28
JHEP 10 (2008) 064
Physics
High Energy Physics
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
28 pages, 8 figures, minor revision, accepted for publication in JHEP
Scientific paper
10.1088/1126-6708/2008/10/064
We study the properties of the constrained minimal supersymmetric standard model (mSUGRA) by performing fits to updated indirect data, including the relic density of dark matter inferred from WMAP5. In order to find the extent to which mu < 0 is disfavoured compared to mu > 0, we compare the Bayesian evidence values for these models, which we obtain straightforwardly and with good precision from the recently developed multi-modal nested sampling ('MultiNest') technique. We find weak to moderate evidence for the mu > 0 branch of mSUGRA over mu < 0 and estimate the ratio of probabilities to be P(mu > 0)/P(mu < 0) = 6-61 depending on the prior measure and range used. There is thus positive (but not overwhelming) evidence that mu > 0 in mSUGRA. The MultiNest technique also delivers probability distributions of parameters and other relevant quantities such as superpartner masses. We explore the dependence of our results on the choice of the prior measure used. We also use the Bayesian evidence to quantify the consistency between the mSUGRA parameter inferences coming from the constraints that have the largest effects: (g-2)_mu, BR(b -> s gamma) and cold dark matter (DM) relic density Omega_{DM}h^2.
AbdusSalam Shehu S.
Allanach Ben C.
Feroz Farhan
Hobson Michael P.
Trotta Roberto
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