Comment on "Do Earthquakes Exhibit Self-Organized Criticality?"

Details Comment on "Do Earthquakes Exhibit Self-Organized Criticality?" Comment on "Do Earthquakes Exhibit Self-Organized Criticality?"

2004-12-16

arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0412441v1

Physics

Condensed Matter

Other Condensed Matter

Tentative comment to Yang, Du, Ma, PRL 92, 228501 (2004)

Scientific paper

10.1103/PhysRevLett.95.159801

It is shown that earthquakes do not know how large they will become, at least from the information collected at seismic catalogs. In other words, the magnitude is independent on previous magnitudes as well as on the waiting time between previous earthquakes. In contrast, the time to the next event does depend on the magnitude. Also it is argued that SOC systems do not necessarily shown a Poisson-type behavior in time, and SOC does not exclude the possibility of some degree of prediction.

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