Volatility and Agent Adaptability in a Self-Organizing Market

Details Volatility and Agent Adaptability in a Self-Organizing Market Volatility and Agent Adaptability in a Self-Organizing Market

1998-02-17

arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/9802177v1

Physics

Condensed Matter

8 pages, 3 figs. n.johnson@physics.ox.ac.uk, pmhui@phy.cuhk.edu.hk

Scientific paper

10.1016/S0378-4371(98)00227-1

We present results for the so-called `bar-attendance' model of market behavior: $p$ adaptive agents, each possessing $n$ prediction rules chosen randomly from a pool, attempt to attend a bar whose cut-off is $s$. The global attendance time-series has a mean near, but not equal to, $s$. The variance, or `volatility', can show a minimum with increasing adaptability of the individual agents.

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