Physics – Condensed Matter
Scientific paper
1996-09-30
Physics
Condensed Matter
5 pages (LaTex)+ 6 Postscript figures. To appear in Nature as a Scientific Correspondence
Scientific paper
Analogies between the price dynamics in the foreign exchange market and 3-dimensional fully developed turbulence were recently presented in Nature vol. 381, 767-769 (1996). Independently, we have carried out a study comparing the parallel of the dynamical properties of the S&P 500 index and of the time evolution of a 3-dimensional fully turbulent fluid, but our study arrives at rather different conclusions. Specifically, we find while intermittency -- i.e. abrupt changes of activity in the time evolution of the variance of price changes and of the mean energy dissipation -- and non-Gaussian behavior (for short times) in the probability distribution of price and velocity changes characterize both systems, the stochastic nature of the two processes is quantitatively quite different.
Mantegna Rosario Nunzio
Stanley Eugene H.
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