Physics – Condensed Matter – Statistical Mechanics
Scientific paper
2002-10-02
Physical Review Letters 89, 158701 (2002)
Physics
Condensed Matter
Statistical Mechanics
For related publications see http://www.helbing.org
Scientific paper
10.1103/PhysRevLett.89.158701
A microscopic model of financial markets is considered, consisting of many interacting agents (spins) with global coupling and discrete-time thermal bath dynamics, similar to random Ising systems. The interactions between agents change randomly in time. In the thermodynamic limit the obtained time series of price returns show chaotic bursts resulting from the emergence of attractor bubbling or on-off intermittency, resembling the empirical financial time series with volatility clustering. For a proper choice of the model parameters the probability distributions of returns exhibit power-law tails with scaling exponents close to the empirical ones.
Helbing Dirk
Holyst Janusz A.
Krawiecki Andrzej
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