Physics
Scientific paper
Dec 2001
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2001agufm.p12e..07r&link_type=abstract
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2001, abstract #P12E-07
Physics
3367 Theoretical Modeling, 5409 Atmospheres: Structure And Dynamics, 5462 Polar Regions, 6225 Mars
Scientific paper
Which components control the contemporary water cycle and what is the nature of the control mechanisms? These questions are at the heart of understanding how the Martian exchangeable water budget adjusts to perturbations and changes in the climate system. Analysis of a water cycle model embedded in the GFDL Mars GCM provides a paradigm for the water cycle as a feedback system, providing information on the important control points and response times. Much information on this system derives from monitoring the evolution towards steady state--one that resembles the observed water vapour and ice cloud distributions. The most important exchange balance in the system is that between the northern polar atmosphere and the rest of the planet. As the major net source for water, the northern residual water ice cap is active during summer, in the window of time between the sublimation and recondensation of the seasonal CO2 cap. At this time, water is exported from the northern polar atmosphere at a rate determined by the mixing capacity of the atmosphere and the amount of water held in the polar atmosphere. The latter is determined by the cap surface temperature. During the remainder of the year, water is returned to the pole. This return flux is determined by the atmospheric mixing capacity and the amount of water vapour held in the tropical and winter extratropical atmosphere. Steady-state is achieved when these fluxes balance. For a given climate state (and a roughly repeatable annual cycle of mixing), the outflux and influx of polar water are controlled by separate variables. Holding the cap temperature constant, the outflux will remain constant. Any perturbation to the global water budget will result in a change in the return flux that tends to oppose the sense of the perturbation--the perturbation will be damped. In the same way, a change in cap temperature (e.g. associated with a change in albedo) will result in changed water outflow. Again, this will tend to change the non-polar water vapour budget and hence the polar water influx so as to develop a new steady-state. It is important to note that only in this case is the steady-state global humidity changed: a given cap temperature and seasonal cycle of mixing capacity specifies a bulk steady-state atmospheric humidity. In all cases, the regolith acts as a damper on the system and adjusts to the global water distribution dictated ultimately by the northern cap. The model also suggests fast adjustment times, on order decades. A number of factors can affect atmospheric mixing capacity. As climate forcing factors change (associated with obliquity or greenhouse gas loading) the mixing capacity will change--an area for future study. The current mixing capacity of the atmosphere is also different from one that would obtain without atmospheric water condensation and sedimentation. Model clouds play important roles in returning water to the residual ice cap in northern summer, and significantly altering interhemispheric transport from that which would occur without clouds. As with previous studies, the southern polar cap acts as a permanent sink for water. The model and resulting paradigm for the water cycle can be used in very preliminary studies of past climate states. Forcing the model with an obliquity of 45 deg., the seasonal water ice caps become significantly more extended, reaching into the summer hemisphere. In fact, the seasonal caps "overlap" in the northern tropics, generating a year-round surface ice belt. Much work remains to be done in understanding water ice transport and exchange processes before models of paleoclimate can be of widespread utility--of which analysis of data from MGS and future missions will be key.
Richardson Mark I.
Wilson Richard J.
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