Deep minimum activity of the Sun and small ice age coming now, followed by drastic heat

Details Deep minimum activity of the Sun and small ice age coming now, followed by drastic heat Deep minimum activity of the Sun and small ice age coming now, followed by drastic heat

Dec 2002

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002esasp.506..113c&link_type=abstract

In: Solar variability: from core to outer frontiers. The 10th European Solar Physics Meeting, 9 - 14 September 2002, Prague, Cze

Physics

Solar Cycle, Magnetic Fields, Zone Boundaries, Deep Minimum

Scientific paper

We estimate the magnetic activity of the Sun that will decrease seriously in the next two or three cycles, leading to a deep minimum. Three arguments are given in favor of this statement. With the approach of a deep minimum the Earth ocean temperature may gradually decrease by at least 1°K. However, due to the increase of the greenhouse effect one may expect during the coming decennia only a small decrease, say 0.5°K. Nevertheless this may be interpreted wrongly as if the greenhouse effect is irrelevant and that the present high ocean temperature is only a casual fluctuation. Governemnts may then allow an ever increasing use of Earth fuel, leading to an ocean temperature higher than at present after half a century. After the deep minimum an extra increase in temperature of at least 1°K is to be expected leading to drastic, if not catastrophic, effects. It is concluded that (1) more research on the activity of the Sun is required as well as more research on the greenhouse effect; (2) the need for nuclear fusion is imperative.

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