Prediction of geomagnetic activity on time scales of one to ten years

Details Prediction of geomagnetic activity on time scales of one to ten years Prediction of geomagnetic activity on time scales of one to ten years

Aug 1986

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1986rvgeo..24..650f&link_type=abstract

Reviews of Geophysics (ISSN 8755-1209), vol. 24, Aug. 1986, p. 650-666.

Physics

Geophysics

46

Annual Variations, Geomagnetism, Magnetic Storms, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity Effects, Indexes (Ratios), Magnetic Disturbances, Magnetoactivity, Solar Terrestrial Interactions

Scientific paper

The long-term prediction of geomagnetic indices that characterize the state of the magnetosphere is discussed. While a prediction of the yearly average sunspot number is simultaneously a prediction of the yearly number of sudden-commencement storms, it is not a prediction of the number of disturbed or quiet half days. Knowledge of the sunspot cycle phase leads to a good estimate of the correlation expected between activity during one 27-day solar rotation period and the next.

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