A revised prediction for the 2000 Leonids

Details A revised prediction for the 2000 Leonids A revised prediction for the 2000 Leonids

Oct 2000

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2000jbaa..110..253f&link_type=abstract

Journal of the British Astronomical Association, vol.110, no.5, p.253-256

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astronomy

Scientific paper

In this work we revise our previous results on the Leonid meteor shower, using information gathered in 1999. We present new intensity and time predictions for the shower from 2000 to 2002, based on the isolines method. We have revised upward our previous prediction for the intensity, and conclude that there is a slight chance that the ZHR in the year 2000 could reach a value of 50,000. We also present evidence illustrating that the shower does not follow the node, but drifts in respect to it at a rate of 0.044 deg/year. This serves as a basis for predicting the times of the storm component.

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