Introducing probabilistic aftershock hazard mapping

Details Introducing probabilistic aftershock hazard mapping Introducing probabilistic aftershock hazard mapping

Oct 2000

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2000georl..27.3405w&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 27, Issue 20, p. 3405-3408

Physics

13

Seismology, Seismology: Seismic Hazard Assessment And Prediction, Seismology: Seismicity And Seismotectonics

Scientific paper

Aftershocks to large earthquakes pose a significant hazard, a fact that was highlighted by damaging aftershocks to the 1999 Turkey and Taiwan mainshocks. A new approach is introduced to quantify this hazard in terms of physical parameter maps that forecast the probabilistic aftershock hazard based on the observed spatially varying aftershock activity. For two case studies, the Landers and Northridge mainshocks, probabilistic aftershock hazard maps are shown to improve conventional aftershock hazard assessment.

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