Predictions for the 2009 Leonids from a technically dense model

Details Predictions for the 2009 Leonids from a technically dense model Predictions for the 2009 Leonids from a technically dense model

Aug 2009

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009jimo...37..122l&link_type=abstract

WGN, Journal of the International Meteor Organization, vol. 37, no. 4, p. 122-124

Physics

2

Scientific paper

We give here our predictions of Leonids for the year 2009. We found two prominent encounters with old trails, from the years 1466 and 1533. Because the 1466 trail gave an outburst in the year 2008 we also update the post prediction of that. It appears that the maximums from these two trails nearly coincide in time, increasing the predicted maximum ZHR for the year 2009 close to 150 if taking the expected annual background also in account. Considering the uncertainties the maximum ZHR might be as high as 300.

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