The Use of Environmental Data to Predict and Analyse Spacecraft Anomalies

Details The Use of Environmental Data to Predict and Analyse Spacecraft Anomalies The Use of Environmental Data to Predict and Analyse Spacecraft Anomalies

Nov 1998

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1998sct..conf..231a&link_type=abstract

Proceedings of the 6th Spacecraft Charging Conference. November 2-6, 1998. AFRL Science Center, Hanscom AFB, MA, USA., p.231-235

Physics

Scientific paper

Spacecraft are exposed to a dynamic environment, the space weather. Spacecraft move between different regions and in each region the spacecraft is exposed to different environments. Monitoring the space environment can lead to a better understanding of how spacecraft are affected by the space environment. The data collected by monitoring instruments can be used both for prediction, and for post-analysis of the anomalies. Periods with increased risk for anomalies on geosynchronous satellites are predicted in this study. The input to the models are environmental data that can be accessed in real time. The models are trained to predict whether anomalies will occur within the next 24 hours or not. Models with up to 80% prediction success are presented.

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