Can the Solar Cycle Amplitude Be Predicted Using the Preceding Solar Cycle Length?

Details Can the Solar Cycle Amplitude Be Predicted Using the Preceding Solar Cycle Length? Can the Solar Cycle Amplitude Be Predicted Using the Preceding Solar Cycle Length?

Jul 2008

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008soph..250..199v&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics, Volume 250, Issue 1, pp.199-206

Physics

2

Scientific paper

In this work, the evolution of the relationship between Solar Cycle Length of solar cycle n (SCL n ) and Solar Cycle Amplitude of the solar cycle n+1 (SCA n+1) is studied by using the R Z and R G sunspot numbers. We conclude that this relationship is only strongly significant in a statistical sense during the first half of the historical record of R Z sunspot number whereas it is considerably less significant for the R G sunspot number. In this sense we assert that these simple lagged relationships should be avoided as a valid method to predict the following solar activity amplitude.

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