Mathematical modelling of the sunspot cycle

Details Mathematical modelling of the sunspot cycle Mathematical modelling of the sunspot cycle

Apr 1981

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1981soph...70..259d&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics, vol. 70, Apr. 1981, p. 259-272.

Physics

16

Mathematical Models, Solar Activity, Sunspot Cycle, Maxwell-Boltzmann Density Function, Periodic Variations, Solar Physics, Time Series Analysis

Scientific paper

The sunspot record for the time interval 1749-1977 can be represented conveniently by an harmonic model comprising a relatively large number of lines. Solar activity can otherwise be considered as a sequence of partly overlapping events, triggered periodically at intervals of the order of 11 years. Each individual cycle is approximated by a function of the Maxwell distribution type; the resulting impulse model consists of the superposition of the independent pulses. Application of these two models for the prediction of annual values of the Wolf sunspot numbers leads to controversial results. Mathematical modelling of the sunspot time series does not give an unambiguous result

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