Twentieth century climate model response and climate sensitivity

Physics

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Atmospheric Processes: Global Climate Models (1626, 4928), Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Aerosols And Particles (0345, 4801, 4906)

Scientific paper

Climate forcing and climate sensitivity are two key factors in understanding Earth's climate. There is considerable interest in decreasing our uncertainty in climate sensitivity. This study explores the role of these two factors in climate simulations of the 20th century. It is found that the total anthropogenic forcing for a wide range of climate models differs by a factor of two and that the total forcing is inversely correlated to climate sensitivity. Much of the uncertainty in total anthropogenic forcing derives from a threefold range of uncertainty in the aerosol forcing used in the simulations.

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