Pacific interdecadal variability in this century's sea surface temperatures

Physics

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Atmosphere, Global Change: Climate Dynamics, Global Change: Oceans, Oceanography: General: Climate And Interannual Variability

Scientific paper

Analysis of this century's sea surface temperatures over the Pacific Ocean reveals an interdecadal oscillation with a period of 15-20 years. Our results show that the well-known 1976-77 climate regime shift is not unique, but represents one of several phase transitions associated with this interdecadal oscillation, also found around 1924-25, 1941-42, and 1957-58. The oscillation's striking north-south symmetry across the equator implies strong interactions between tropics and extratropics. A mode with a period of approximately 70 years and an apparently different spatial pattern is also identified tentatively but has to be evaluated further using longer time series.

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