NASA pre-event debris footprint estimates for the deorbit of Space Station MIR

Physics

Scientific paper

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Mir, Deorbit

Scientific paper

This paper details a method used by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Johnson Space Center to estimate the size and location of the debris footprint expected from the entry and breakup of the MIR Space Station, and results of this method obtained prior to the event. The method estimates the length (range), width (crossrange), and location of debris splashdown and breakup footprints. The method utilizes a three degree-of-freedom Monte Carlo simulation incorporating uncertainties in all aspects of the problem, including vehicle and environment uncertainties. The method incorporates a range of debris characteristics based on historical data in addition to any vehicle-specific debris catalog information.

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