On Value at Risk for foreign exchange rates - the copula approach

Details On Value at Risk for foreign exchange rates - the copula approach On Value at Risk for foreign exchange rates - the copula approach

2006-08-18

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0608190v1

Acta Phys. Pol. B 37, 3005 (2006)

Physics

Physics and Society

To be published in Acta Phys. Pol. B

Scientific paper

The aim of this paper is to determine the Value at Risk (VaR) of the portfolio consisting of long positions in foreign currencies on an emerging market. Basing on empirical data we restrict ourselves to the case when the tail parts of distributions of logarithmic returns of these assets follow the power laws and the lower tail of associated copula C follows the power law of degree 1. We will illustrate the practical usefulness of this approach by the analysis of the exchange rates of EUR and CHF at the Polish forex market.

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