How often does theory match experiment?

Physics – Data Analysis – Statistics and Probability

Scientific paper

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5 Page article, probabilistic modeling of the nature of experimental observation

Scientific paper

In every sphere of science, theories make predictions and experiments validate them. However, common experience suggests that theoretically predicted exact magnitude for a parameter, constitute a small subset of all the experimentally obtained magnitudes for that particular parameter. Typically, irrespective of the branch of science and the particular problem under consideration, the set of obtained experimental results form an interval [x_min,x_max], within which the theoretically predicted magnitude, say 'x', occurs with time, apparently randomly. We attempt here to find the characteristics of the statistical distribution of events of experimental observation of the occurrence of theoretically predicted 'x'; in other words, characterization of the time interval when theoretical predictions match the experimental readings, exactly.

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