Geomagnetic Storm Forecasting Advances for the Electric Power Industry

Physics

Scientific paper

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2704 Auroral Phenomena (2407), 2708 Current Systems (2409), 2722 Forecasting, 1515 Geomagnetic Induction, 2139 Interplanetary Shocks

Scientific paper

Geomagnetic disturbances may impact the operational reliability of electric power systems due to electromagnetic coupling from the geomagnetic environment causing Geomagnetically-induced currents (GIC) that disrupt operations of the large-scale infrastructure of modern power grids. These geomagnetic disturbances can be geographically widespread and can have rapid onsets, threatening the reliability of operations within a matter of minutes. Operators of critical infrastructures, such as electric power grids around the world, have been undertaking efforts to assess their vulnerability to these environments and incorporating continuous forecast models of the space environment into their operational control facilities. Significant advances have been made in understanding this interaction and in efforts to forecast and model the environment for power grid infrastructure operators. This presentation will provide a summary and overview of GIC forecasting and modeling advances.

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