Solar Proton Events for Five Solar Cycles: 1955-2002

Physics

Scientific paper

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7514 Energetic Particles (2114), 2114 Energetic Particles, Heliospheric (7514)

Scientific paper

Using solar proton data from the past four solar cycles we examine the consistencies and inconsistencies between these events as a function of the solar cycle. For consistencies we have found that the total number of events and the percentage of ground-level events per solar cycle remain surprisingly constant. For inconsistencies we have found the distribution of events differs from cycle to cycle as well as the total solar proton event fluence above 10 MeV. In comparing the distribution of solar proton events during the rising portion of cycles 19-23, we find the best similarity between the 20th and the 23rd solar cycles. If these cycles are similar, we would expect the majority of solar proton events to occur during years 5-8 of the 23rd cycle (i.e. from 2001-2004).

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