Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations

Details Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations

2005-12-15

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0512135v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

We present results from the sixth stage of a project to build a statistical hurricane model. Previous papers have described our modelling of the tracks, genesis, and lysis of hurricanes. In our track model we have so far employed a normal distribution for the residuals when computing innovations, even though we have demonstrated that their distribution is not normal. Here, we test to see if the track model can be improved by including more realistic non-normal innovations. The results are mixed. Some features of the model improve, but others slightly worsen.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: non-normal innovations will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-168958