Solar Wind Conditions at Mars Predicted in Late 2003 and Early 2004

Physics

Scientific paper

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1739 Solar/Planetary Relationships, 2118 Energetic Particles, Solar, 2164 Solar Wind Plasma, 2722 Forecasting

Scientific paper

The solar wind plays a key role in the dynamics of the Martian upper atmosphere, ionosphere and radiation environment. The Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry (HAFv.2) solar wind model was used in a real-time prediction mode to forecast solar wind conditions and interplanetary shock arrival times at Mars in late 2003 and early 2004. The HAFv.2 model uses a modified kinematic approach to simulate solar wind speed, density, dynamic pressure and interplanetary magnetic field in the global heliosphere. The late 2003-early 2004 period included intervals of very disturbed solar wind observed at Earth. We compare simulations from the HAFv.2 model with data from the ACE L1 spacecraft near Earth, with observations in the close Martian environment, and with simulations by the Han-Wu-Dryer-Detman 3D-MHD solar wind model. The NASA Living With a Star Targeted Research and Technology Program is supporting this work.

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