Comment on 'Prediction of geomagnetic activity' by C.K. Goertz, Lin-Hua Shan, and R.A. Smith

Details Comment on 'Prediction of geomagnetic activity' by C.K. Goertz, Lin-Hua Shan, and R.A. Smith Comment on 'Prediction of geomagnetic activity' by C.K. Goertz, Lin-Hua Shan, and R.A. Smith

May 1993

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1993jgr....98.7685m&link_type=abstract

Journal of Geophysical Research (ISSN 0148-0227), vol. 98, no. A5, p. 7685, 7686.

Physics

11

Earth Magnetosphere, Electrojets, Magnetoactivity, Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Bow Waves, Geomagnetism, Magnetic Storms, Solar Wind Velocity, Tables (Data)

Scientific paper

A comment is made on the paper by Goertz et al. (1993) which describes the start of a study of how best to predict the level of solar-terrestrial interaction. Goertz et al. obtained a very high correlation coefficient between their predictions and observations and conclude that this implies that the magnetosphere is primarily driven and that unloading of magnetotail energy contributes a minor amount to the observed indices. It is argued that the results of Goertz et al. are the fortuitous consequence of adjusting free parameters to a specific event.

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