Physics
Scientific paper
Jan 2003
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2003georl..30a..18c&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 30, Issue 1, pp. 18-1, CiteID 1018, DOI 10.1029/2002GL016066
Physics
4
Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: General Circulation, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Climatology (1620), Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Synoptic-Scale Meteorology
Scientific paper
The dominant Northern Hemisphere winter mode of variability is characterized by a same-signed sea level pressure anomaly at high latitudes with an opposite-signed anomaly stretching across mid-latitudes. The surface temperature pattern associated with this mode is a same-signed temperature anomaly across the major continents and an opposite-signed anomaly across the major oceans. We demonstrate that this temperature pattern is mostly an artifact of multi-year averaging, which results in the super positioning of two distinctive patterns. Separation of the two patterns allows for more accurate seasonal predictions and introduces a spatial and temporal resolution in forecasts previously not possible.
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