CME Disturbance Forecasting

Details CME Disturbance Forecasting CME Disturbance Forecasting

Mar 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006ssrv..123..453s&link_type=abstract

Space Science Reviews, Volume 123, Issue 1-3, pp. 453-470

Physics

8

Space Weather, Storm Forecasting

Scientific paper

CME disturbances at Earth arise from the sheath that arrives in front of the ICME and from the ICME itself. The geoeffective environment is qualitatively different in the sheath than within the ICME. Consequently two types of forecast procedures using solar observations of phenomena associated with the release of the CME as input parameters have been developed to treat the two types of environment. This chapter surveys efforts that have resulted in implementable (at least in principle) forecast algorithms for sheath and ICME disturbances and discusses uncertainties associated with both.

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