An Examination of Sunspot Number Rates of Growth and Decay in Relation to the Sunspot Cycle

Details An Examination of Sunspot Number Rates of Growth and Decay in Relation to the Sunspot Cycle An Examination of Sunspot Number Rates of Growth and Decay in Relation to the Sunspot Cycle

Jun 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006stin...0709843w&link_type=abstract

Technical Report, NASA/TP-2006-214433; M-1165

Physics

Sunspot Cycle, Sunspots, Sun, Decay Rates, Amplitudes, Correlation, Time, Ascent, Standard Deviation

Scientific paper

On the basis of annual sunspot number averages, sunspot number rates of growth and decay are examined relative to both minimum and maximum amplitudes and the time of their occurrences using cycles 12 through present, the most reliably determined sunspot cycles. Indeed, strong correlations are found for predicting the minimum and maximum amplitudes and the time of their occurrences years in advance. As applied to predicting sunspot minimum for cycle 24, the next cycle, its minimum appears likely to occur in 2006, especially if it is a robust cycle similar in nature to cycles 17-23.

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