Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic

Details Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic

2006-06-21

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0606185v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

One possible method for the year-ahead prediction of hurricane numbers would
be to make a year-ahead prediction of sea surface temperature (SST), and then
to apply relationships that link SST to hurricane numbers. As a first step
towards setting up such a system this article compares three simple statistical
methods for the year-ahead prediction of the relevant SSTs.

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