WOLF - A computer expert system for sunspot classification and solar-flare prediction

Details WOLF - A computer expert system for sunspot classification and solar-flare prediction WOLF - A computer expert system for sunspot classification and solar-flare prediction

Aug 1988

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1988jrasc..82..191m&link_type=abstract

Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada (ISSN 0035-872X), vol. 82, Aug. 1988, p. 191-203.

Mathematics

Probability

3

Expert Systems, Solar Flares, Solar X-Rays, Sunspots, Computer Systems Programs, Prediction Analysis Techniques

Scientific paper

An expert systmem, WOLF, has been developed that acts as an expert in analyzing solar active regions and predicting the probable occurrence of solar flares. The system has a knowledge base consisting of a set of IF-THEN rules and an inference engine which applies the rules. WOLF asks questions concerning an observed solar active region and uses the answers to determine the McIntosh (1968) sunspot classification. WOLF then indicates the probability of that group producing a flare of specified X-ray intensity based on the statistical analysis of past flare activity of similar groups.

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