What is the probability that $θ_{13}$ and CP violation will be discovered in future neutrino oscillation experiments?

Details What is the probability that $θ_{13}$ and CP violation will be discovered in future neutrino oscillation experiments? What is the probability that $θ_{13}$ and CP violation will be discovered in future neutrino oscillation experiments?

2006-12-19

arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/0612223v1

Phys.Lett.B648:54-59,2007

Physics

High Energy Physics

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology

11 pages, 5 figures

Scientific paper

10.1016/j.physletb.2007.02.053

The sensitivity of future neutrino oscillation experiments is determined within a frequentist framework by using a statistical procedure based on Monte Carlo simulations. I consider the search for a non-zero value of the mixing angle $\theta_{13}$ at the T2K and Double-Chooz experiments, as well as the discovery of CP violation at the example of the T2HK experiment. The probability that a discovery will be made at a given confidence level is calculated as a function of the true parameter values by generating large ensembles of artificial experiments. The interpretation of the commonly used sensitivity limits is clarified.

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