Physics
Scientific paper
May 1978
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1978georl...5..411s&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 5, May 1978, p. 411-414. Research supported by the Max C. Fleischmann Foundation
Physics
86
Dynamo Theory, Magnetic Flux, Solar Activity, Solar Magnetic Field, Sunspot Cycle, Sunspots, Solar Corona, Solar Eclipses
Scientific paper
On physical grounds it is suggested that the polar field strength of the sun near a solar minimum is closely related to the solar activity of the following cycle. Four methods of estimating the polar magnetic field strength of the sun near solar minimum are employed to provide an estimate of the yearly mean sunspot number of cycle 21 at solar maximum of 140 + or - 20. This estimate may be considered a first-order attempt to predict the cycle activity using one parameter of physical importance based upon dynamo theory.
Schatten Kenneth H.
Scherrer Philip H.
Svalgaard Leif
Wilcox John M.
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