Tropical Cyclones as a Critical Phenomenon

Details Tropical Cyclones as a Critical Phenomenon Tropical Cyclones as a Critical Phenomenon

2011-03-24

arxiv.org/abs/1103.4654v1

published in J. B. Elsner et al., Hurricanes and Climate Change: Volume 2, p. 81-99, Springer (2010), ISBN: 978-90-481-9509-1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Color figures, errata corrected

Scientific paper

It has been proposed that the number of tropical cyclones as a function of the energy they release is a decreasing power-law function, up to a characteristic energy cutoff determined by the spatial size of the ocean basin in which the storm occurs. This means that no characteristic scale exists for the energy of tropical cyclones, except for the finite-size effects induced by the boundaries of the basins. This has important implications for the physics of tropical cyclones. We discuss up to what point tropical cyclones are related to critical phenomena (in the same way as earthquakes, rainfall, etc.), providing a consistent picture of the energy balance in the system. Moreover, this perspective allows one to visualize more clearly the effects of global warming on tropical-cyclone occurrence.

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