Towards a unified characterization of phenological phases: fluctuations and correlations with temperature

Details Towards a unified characterization of phenological phases: fluctuations and correlations with temperature Towards a unified characterization of phenological phases: fluctuations and correlations with temperature

2010-10-25

arxiv.org/abs/1010.5058v1

Physics

Biological Physics

16 pages, 6 figures, appendix with 1 table; accepted for Physica A

Scientific paper

Phenological timing -- i.e. the course of annually recurring development stages in nature -- is of particular interest since it can be understood as a proxy for the climate at a specific region; moreover changes in the so called phenological phases can be a direct consequence of climate change. We analyze records of botanical phenology and study their fluctuations which we find to depend on the seasons. In contrast to previous studies, where typically trends in the phenology of individual species are estimated, we consider the ensemble of all available phases and propose a phenological index that characterizes the influence of climate on the multitude of botanical species.

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