Total ozone trend significance from space time variability of daily Dobson data

Physics

Scientific paper

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Error Analysis, Ozone, Periodic Variations, Statistical Analysis, Time Series Analysis, Trends, Dynamic Characteristics, Forecasting, Satellite Observation, Statistical Distributions

Scientific paper

Estimates of standard errors of total ozone time and area means, as derived from ozone's natural temporal and spatial variability and autocorrelation in middle latitudes determined from daily Dobson data are presented. Assessing the significance of apparent total ozone trends is equivalent to assessing the standard error of the means. Standard errors of time averages depend on the temporal variability and correlation of the averaged parameter. Trend detectability is discussed, both for the present network and for satellite measurements.

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