The Relationship Between the Amplitude and Descending Time of a Solar Activity Cycle

Details The Relationship Between the Amplitude and Descending Time of a Solar Activity Cycle The Relationship Between the Amplitude and Descending Time of a Solar Activity Cycle

Nov 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006soph..238..431d&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics, Volume 238, Issue 2, pp.431-437

Physics

14

Scientific paper

The amplitude of a solar-activity cycle is found to be well correlated ( r = -0.811) with the descending time three cycles earlier, in smoothed monthly-mean sunspot numbers for Cycles 8 - 23. The descending time therefore can be used as one of the indicators to predict the amplitudes. As a result, the amplitudes of Cycles 24 - 25 are estimated to be 114.8 ± 17.4, 111.6 ± 17.4, respectively, where the error bar equals ± standard error.

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