Sun-to-Thermosphere Simulation of the October 28, 2003 Event With the Space Weather Modeling Framework

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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2431 Ionosphere/Magnetosphere Interactions (2736), 2722 Forecasting (7924, 7964), 2753 Numerical Modeling, 2784 Solar Wind/Magnetosphere Interactions, 7513 Coronal Mass Ejections (2101)

Scientific paper

Space weather forecasting requires faster than real-time simulations of the entire Sun-to-Earth model chain at high enough spatial and temporal resolution to resolve the important geoeffective features in the solar wind and the magnetosphere-ionosphere-thermosphere system. We present a complete end-to-end simulation of one of the most intensive solar storms, the October 28, 2003 CME. The physical domain models spanning from the Solar Corona model to the Upper Atmosphere model are self-consistently coupled together by the high-performance Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). We discuss technological advances enabling the faster than real-time operation of the SWMF with high resolution. We also compare the simulation results with observations.

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