Subseasonal organization of ocean chlorophyll: Prospects for prediction based on the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Physics

Scientific paper

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Biogeosciences: Biogeochemical Cycles, Processes, And Modeling (0412, 0793, 1615, 4805, 4912), Atmospheric Processes: Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions (0312, 4504), Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Oceanography: General: Equatorial Oceanography, Oceanography: Physical: Air/Sea Interactions (0312, 3339)

Scientific paper

Analysis of satellite ocean color and rainfall data shows that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) produces systematic and significant variations in ocean surface Chlorophyll (Chl) in a number of regions across the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans, including the northern Indian Ocean, a broad expanse of the northwestern tropical Pacific Ocean, and a number of near-coastal areas in the far eastern Pacific Ocean. Potential mechanisms for this modulation are examined with the result that wind-induced vertical entrainment at the base of the ocean mixed layer appears to play an important role. Given evidence that the MJO is predictable with 2-3 week lead-times, surface Chl may also be predictable at similar lead times with implications for the fishing industry and public health sectors concerned with cholera epidemics.

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